Category: Lifestyle

Analysts predict gold could reach $4,000 per ounce by 2026 as central bank demand and geopolitical tensions drive unprecedented precious metal rally

Gold prices in Dubai have surged to historic levels, with 24-karat gold reaching AED 415.50 per gram as global precious metal markets experience an extraordinary bull run that has caught even seasoned analysts by surprise.

Gold rose to $3,489.81 per troy ounce on September 2, 2025, up 0.38% from the previous day and an impressive 39.97% compared to the same time last year, marking one of the most sustained precious metal rallies in modern financial history.

The surge has transformed Dubai’s gold souks and jewelry markets, with retailers and investors grappling with unprecedented price levels that are reshaping traditional buying patterns and investment strategies across the region.

Record-Breaking Price Trajectory Defies Expectations

The current gold rally represents more than just cyclical market movement — it’s a fundamental shift in global monetary dynamics that’s propelling precious metals to territory few analysts predicted just years ago.

Over the past month alone, gold prices have risen 3.42%, demonstrating remarkable momentum despite traditionally volatile market conditions. This sustained upward trajectory has established new psychological price floors while creating fresh uncertainty about peak valuation levels.

Dubai’s position as a global gold trading hub has provided unique insight into this price evolution. Current rates show 22-karat gold at AED 384.75 per gram and 18-karat gold at AED 314.80 per gram, reflecting the premium quality standards that have made Dubai synonymous with precious metal excellence.

The emirate’s strategic location between Asian production centers and European markets has made its gold pricing a bellwether for global trends, with local rates often serving as early indicators of broader market movements.

Wall Street Giants Bet Big on Higher Prices

Major financial institutions are doubling down on bullish gold forecasts that would have seemed fantastical just years ago. Goldman Sachs Research predicts gold will rise to $3,700 a troy ounce by the end of 2025 as central banks buy many tonnes of the precious metal every month.

These aren’t modest adjustments to existing forecasts — they represent fundamental reassessments of gold’s role in modern portfolios and monetary systems. J.P. Morgan’s longer-term outlook remains bullish, with prices expected to average $3,675/oz by the fourth quarter of 2025 and climb toward $4,000 by mid-2026.

The institutional confidence reflects several converging factors that analysts believe will sustain upward price pressure well into 2026 and beyond. Central bank and investor demand for gold is set to remain strong, averaging around 710 tonnes a quarter this year, creating structural supply-demand imbalances that support higher prices.

Even more optimistic projections suggest extraordinary long-term potential. Some commodity analysts believe the price of gold could be heading for $7,000 by 2025, reflecting divergence strength that has seen gold up 84% since 2015.

Central Bank Buying Spree Reshapes Market Dynamics

Behind the spectacular price surge lies a fundamental shift in central bank behavior that’s creating unprecedented demand for physical gold. Traditional monetary policy tools have proven inadequate for managing modern economic challenges, driving central banks toward gold as a strategic reserve asset.

This institutional buying represents a departure from decades of central bank gold sales that previously suppressed prices. The reversal has created sustained demand pressure that private markets struggle to offset, particularly given limited new mine production and recycling supply.

The scale of central bank purchasing has surprised even seasoned precious metal analysts. Monthly acquisition rates now exceed historical annual totals from previous decades, indicating a strategic realignment of global monetary reserves rather than tactical portfolio adjustments.

This institutional demand provides a price floor that supports gold even during periods of reduced retail investor interest, creating a more stable foundation for sustained price appreciation.

Geopolitical Tensions Fuel Safe-Haven Demand

Global uncertainty continues driving investors toward precious metals as traditional safe-haven assets face increasing volatility. Currency devaluation concerns, inflation persistence, and geopolitical tensions have combined to create ideal conditions for gold appreciation.

The metal’s performance during recent market turbulence has reinforced its reputation as a hedge against systemic risk. Unlike stocks or bonds, gold maintains value independence from corporate performance or government fiscal policies, making it attractive during periods of institutional uncertainty.

Dubai’s strategic position has made it a primary beneficiary of this safe-haven demand. The emirate’s political stability, free-market policies, and advanced financial infrastructure have attracted investors seeking secure precious metal storage and trading facilities.

Regional tensions have particularly emphasized gold’s appeal among Middle Eastern investors, who view physical precious metals as protection against currency volatility and political uncertainty.

Technology and Innovation Transform Gold Markets

Modern gold markets bear little resemblance to traditional trading systems, with technology enabling new forms of investment and speculation that amplify price movements. Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) now represent significant gold demand, allowing retail investors to gain precious metal exposure without physical storage requirements.

Digital platforms have democratized gold trading while creating new sources of price volatility. Algorithm-driven trading systems can execute massive transactions within milliseconds, potentially amplifying both upward and downward price movements beyond levels justified by fundamental supply-demand factors.

These technological innovations have made gold markets more liquid but also more susceptible to rapid price swings based on sentiment shifts rather than physical market conditions. The result is a market where technical analysis often drives short-term price movements while fundamental factors determine longer-term trends.

Dubai’s gold trading infrastructure has evolved to accommodate these technological changes, with local dealers offering everything from traditional physical sales to sophisticated derivative instruments that appeal to institutional investors.

Mixed Analyst Perspectives on Future Trajectory

While bullish sentiment dominates current gold market analysis, experienced analysts offer nuanced perspectives that acknowledge potential price volatility ahead. Most analysts expect the precious metal to slide to $3,292.58–$3,211.00 by the end of the year, though more optimistic estimates suggest that the price will rise to $3,669.63 in December.

These divergent forecasts reflect genuine uncertainty about factors that could influence gold prices over the remainder of 2025. Economic data releases, Federal Reserve policy decisions, and geopolitical developments could all trigger significant price movements in either direction.

Some analysts warn that current price levels may have outpaced fundamental justification, creating conditions for potential corrections that could catch leveraged investors off-guard. However, the structural factors supporting gold demand appear likely to persist regardless of short-term volatility.

Longer-term projections remain optimistic, with gold price targets of $3,500 in 2025, near $3,900 in 2026, and peak predictions of $5,155 by 2030, suggesting that current high prices may represent just the beginning of a multi-year precious metal supercycle.

Dubai’s Gold Market Adapts to New Reality

Local gold retailers and traders are adapting business models to accommodate unprecedented price levels that have fundamentally altered traditional buying patterns. High-value transactions now require enhanced security measures and sophisticated financing arrangements that were unnecessary just years ago.

The traditional gold souk experience has evolved to incorporate digital payment systems and international shipping services that accommodate customers unwilling to carry high-value precious metal purchases. Modern security systems and insurance arrangements have become essential for protecting both retailers and customers.

Consumer behavior has shifted toward smaller-quantity purchases and strategic timing strategies as buyers attempt to navigate volatile price conditions. Traditional gift-giving occasions and seasonal buying patterns have been disrupted by price considerations that now outweigh cultural traditions.

Investment-grade gold products have gained popularity among buyers seeking to capitalize on price appreciation rather than traditional jewelry applications. This shift has created new market segments while challenging retailers to diversify product offerings beyond traditional cultural preferences.

Regional Economic Implications

The gold price surge has created both opportunities and challenges across the broader Middle Eastern economy. Countries with significant gold reserves have seen improved sovereign balance sheets, while import-dependent economies face increased costs for traditional gold consumption.

Dubai’s economy benefits significantly from higher gold prices through increased trading volumes, tourism revenue from gold buyers, and enhanced reputation as a global precious metal hub. The emirate’s tax-free status and advanced infrastructure position it advantageously compared to competing regional markets.

However, traditional gold-consuming industries face margin pressure from higher input costs. Jewelry manufacturers, electronics companies, and industrial users must balance product pricing with consumer demand sensitivity to maintain profitability.

The region’s central banks have generally benefited from higher gold valuations, with reserve portfolios showing improved performance compared to currency-denominated assets. This improvement has provided additional monetary policy flexibility during challenging economic conditions.

Investment Strategy Considerations

Current gold prices present complex decision-making challenges for both institutional and retail investors. Historical analysis suggests that precious metals can continue appreciating well beyond levels that initially appear unsustainable, making timing decisions particularly difficult.

Short-term predictions suggest potential profits, with estimates showing that investing $1,000 in gold today could yield $109.99 in profits (11.00% ROI) over the next 102 days, though such projections carry inherent uncertainty.

Diversification strategies have become more important as gold’s correlation with other asset classes has shifted during the current rally. Traditional portfolio allocation models may require adjustment to account for gold’s enhanced role as both a hedge and growth investment.

Dollar-cost averaging strategies have gained popularity among investors seeking gold exposure while managing price volatility risks. This approach allows gradual position building without requiring precise timing of market entry points.

Global Economic Context and Future Outlook

The gold rally occurs within a broader context of monetary policy uncertainty that extends well beyond precious metal markets. Central bank policies, inflation trends, and currency stability all influence gold’s appeal as an alternative store of value.

Current economic conditions share similarities with historical periods that preceded sustained precious metal bull markets. However, modern financial systems and investment instruments create unique dynamics that may amplify or dampen traditional gold market patterns.

The sustainability of current price levels ultimately depends on whether underlying economic conditions continue supporting safe-haven demand and central bank accumulation. Changes in monetary policy, geopolitical stability, or inflation expectations could trigger significant price adjustments.

Looking ahead, gold market observers are watching for signals that might indicate whether current prices represent a temporary spike or the beginning of a longer-term structural shift in precious metal valuations.

Conclusion: Navigating Uncharted Territory

Dubai’s gold markets are operating in unprecedented territory as prices reach levels that challenge traditional valuation models and investment strategies. The combination of central bank buying, geopolitical uncertainty, and technological innovation has created market conditions that few analysts fully anticipated.

Whether current prices represent sustainable levels or temporary peaks remains the critical question facing investors, retailers, and policymakers across the region. The answer will likely determine not just precious metal market trajectories but broader economic stability across gold-dependent economies.

As Dubai continues leveraging its position as a global gold trading hub, the emirate’s markets provide valuable insights into how traditional precious metal trading adapts to modern financial realities. The ongoing price discovery process will likely establish new benchmarks for years to come.

For investors and market participants, the current environment demands careful risk management combined with recognition that historical patterns may not fully predict future outcomes in rapidly evolving precious metal markets.

A New Safety Net for Expats: Norka Roots Launches ‘Norka Care’ Insurance

The Ministry of Education has officially released the school calendar for the upcoming 2025-2026 academic year, introducing a new structure aimed at improving student well-being and enhancing educational continuity. The new schedule, which applies to all public and most private schools following the Ministry’s curriculum, features key changes to term dates and holiday breaks.

Anticipated 2025-2026 School Vacation Schedule

• Winter Break: This will be a three-week break, running from December 12, 2025, to January 4, 2026.
• Spring Break: This break will be one week long, from March 24, 2026, to April 3, 2026.
• Summer Break: The school year will end on July 3, 2026, with the summer vacation beginning on July 4, 2026, and lasting until the start of the next academic year.

Key Changes and Dates

The academic year will begin for teachers on August 25, 2025, with students returning to classrooms on August 28, 2025. This earlier start date is a notable shift from previous years.

The first term will run until December 11, 2025, followed by a three-week winter break, a significant extension from the usual two weeks. Students will resume classes on January 5, 2026, for the second term.

The new calendar also introduces a short spring break of just one week from March 24 to April 3, 2026. This shorter break is designed to minimize disruptions to the academic flow in the middle of the second term.

The school year will conclude on July 3, 2026, allowing for a longer summer holiday period, which is expected to be well-received by families.

Rationale Behind the New Calendar

The Ministry of Education explained that the new calendar is part of a broader strategy to optimize learning outcomes. The extended winter break is intended to provide students and teachers with a more substantial rest period, helping to reduce burnout and improve focus for the second half of the school year. The shorter spring break, conversely, aims to maintain momentum and ensure that key curriculum objectives are met without a lengthy interruption.

“This calendar is a strategic step towards a more balanced and effective learning environment,” said a Ministry spokesperson. “We’ve listened to feedback from educators and parents, and this schedule is designed to support the academic and emotional health of our students.”

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Dubai, UAE – Looking to boost your income in the UAE? Whether you’re a full-time professional or a parent at home, new options allow residents to earn a “second salary”—legally and effectively.

1. Second Salary via National Bonds: A Passive Income Option

• Investment Structure: Save at least AED 1,000 per month for 3 to 10 years.
• Payoff Phase: After the savings phase, earn monthly payouts that include your principal plus profit.
  • Example: Save AED 5,000/month for 5 years, then receive about AED 10,020/month for the following 3 years—more than double your savings return.
• Flexibility: Choose your saving and payout durations, or cash out as a lump sum for large financial goals.
• Rewards & Incentives: Participants enter National Bonds’ annual draw (AED 35 million total) and get better odds the longer they stay invested.

This plan is ideal for residents who prefer a hands-off, structured savings route that delivers a reliable “second salary.”

2. Legal Part-Time Work with Work Permit

• Earn up to AED 10,000/month via part-time jobs—from tutoring, event work, to brand promotions.
• Legal Requirements:
  • Secure a part-time work permit from the Ministry of Human Resources & Emiratisation (MoHRE).
  • For dependents on a family visa, a No Objection Certificate (NOC) from the sponsor is required.
• Skilled professionals with academic degrees can also benefit from Private Teacher Work Permits, allowing paid tutoring in-home legally.
• Note: Unauthorized part-time work may bring penalties—MoHRE fines can reach AED 50,000 for violations.

This option suits those who prefer active income boosts, with flexible hours and diverse job choices.

Which Option Fits You Best?

Final Thoughts

Whether you’re looking for passive savings returns or active earning opportunities, the UAE now offers tools designed for both lifestyles—all while staying compliant with regulations.

• National Bonds’ Second Salary delivers a structured, rewarding savings path.
• Part-time or tutoring roles offer flexibility and immediate income for those wanting to work.

Just remember: always secure the right permits before starting any second income venture.

The first is the legal framework for taking on a second job or part-time work, which has been made more flexible by the new UAE labor laws. The second is an investment-based savings program offered by National Bonds, also called “Second Salary,” which provides a way to generate a future monthly income stream.

Part 1: Working a Second Job (Part-Time Work Permit)

1. Is it legal for a UAE resident to have a second job? Yes, it is now legal for a UAE resident with a full-time job to take on a second job, provided they obtain the necessary part-time work permit from the Ministry of Human Resources and Emiratisation (MoHRE).
2. What is a part-time work permit in the UAE? It is a permit issued by MoHRE that allows an employee to work for a second employer under a part-time contract, without having to leave their primary full-time job or get an NOC from their primary employer in many cases.
3. Who is eligible to apply for a part-time work permit? Expatriates and UAE nationals with a valid residency visa who are already employed can apply. The permit is typically for skilled workers (e.g., those with a university degree or higher).
4. What is the process for obtaining a second job permit? The second employer must apply for the permit through the MoHRE portal. The employee may need to provide a No Objection Certificate (NOC) from their primary employer, though this requirement has been relaxed in many cases for skilled workers.
5. How long is a part-time work permit valid for? The permit is typically valid for up to one year and can be renewed.
6. What happens if I work a second job without a permit? Working a second job without the required MoHRE permit is a violation of UAE labor law and can lead to fines for both the employee and the second employer, as well as potential visa cancellation.
7. Do I get benefits with a part-time job? Yes, part-time employees are entitled to benefits such as end-of-service gratuity and annual leave, calculated on a pro-rata basis according to their contract and actual hours worked.
8. What are the rules regarding working hours with two jobs? Your total working hours must not exceed the legal limits specified in the labor law. Typically, this is 48 hours per week, with specific rules for part-time work that may allow for additional hours up to a certain limit.
9. Can Golden Visa holders and Green Visa holders work multiple jobs? Yes, Golden Visa and Green Visa holders have greater flexibility and can often work for multiple employers, freelance, or run their own businesses with more ease, as these visas are self-sponsored.
10. Where can I find official information about the part-time work permit? Official information can be found on the websites and smart apps of the Ministry of Human Resources and Emiratisation (MoHRE) and the relevant local government entities like the General Directorate of Residency and Foreigners Affairs (GDRFA).

Part 2: The “Second Salary” Investment Program

11. What is the “Second Salary” program by National Bonds?
    It is an investment-based savings program that allows UAE residents to save a fixed amount of money monthly over a chosen period (e.g., 3 to 10 years). After the savings period, they receive their principal and accumulated profit as a monthly income for a specified duration, like a “second salary.”
12. How does the National Bonds “Second Salary” program work?
    The program has two phases: a saving phase where you invest a fixed amount monthly, and an income phase where you receive monthly payouts from your total investment and its profits.
13. What is the minimum monthly investment required for this program?
    The program is designed to be accessible, with a minimum monthly commitment starting from as low as AED 1,000.
14. What kind of returns or profits can I expect from the program?
    The program offers a competitive anticipated profit rate (e.g., 3.25% per annum), which is reinvested monthly to maximize returns.
15. What are the benefits of the “Second Salary” program besides the monthly income?
    Participants also gain entry into the National Bonds rewards program, which offers cash prizes and draws, increasing their chances of winning.
16. Can I choose the length of my savings and income periods?
    Yes, the program offers flexibility, allowing customers to choose their preferred savings and income tenures to align with their financial goals.
17. What happens if I need to withdraw my money early from the program?
    The program allows for a full redemption of the invested amount after 90 days.
18. Can I make a lump-sum investment instead of monthly payments?
    Yes, customers can opt for a lump sum investment to enhance their monthly income during the payout phase.
19. How is the “Second Salary” program different from a regular savings account?
    It is a structured savings and investment plan with two distinct phases. It is designed to generate a consistent, predictable income stream in the future, rather than just accumulating a lump sum.

Nintendo Unveils Hello, Mario! App: A Playful New Way for Kids to Interact with Mario in 2025

Ten years ago this August, the United Arab Emirates made a pivotal economic decision that would fundamentally reshape the nation’s energy policy and consumer behavior. With the deregulation of oil prices in the UAE, pump prices were hiked by 24 per cent, aligning with global rates. Some motorists expressed surprise, while others had called it a fair move.

The watershed moment came on August 1, 2015, when fuel prices across the UAE were deregulated from August 2015, as the government has adopted a new policy linked to global prices. This bold reform marked the end of an era of heavily subsidized fuel that had been a cornerstone of the UAE’s social contract since the federation’s early years.

The Context: Economic Pressures and Strategic Vision

The timing of the UAE’s fuel subsidy reform was not coincidental. In January 2015, Suhail Al Mazroui, the Minister of Energy in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), announced that lifting energy subsidies was ‘just a matter of time’. Six months on, that time appears to have come.

The decision came against the backdrop of declining global oil prices and mounting fiscal pressures across the Gulf region. The subsidies had become a burden to national budgets and the UAE made use of low global energy prices to minimise the immediate impact on consumers.

Subsidies on fuel encourage higher consumption and lower conservation. Therefore, the UAE decided to link the price of petrol to the price of oil to help rationalise fuel consumption and encourage the use of public transport in the long run, as well as incentivise the use of alternative fuels.

Mixed Public Reaction: Surprise, Acceptance, and Adaptation

The announcement of fuel price deregulation triggered diverse reactions across UAE society. Many residents, accustomed to some of the world’s cheapest fuel prices, experienced sticker shock when they first encountered the new pricing structure at petrol stations.

Many fear the decision will mean a further cost-of-living burden but others welcomed the long-term effect it would have on the environment and economy. Ali Al Qubaisi, an Emirati, fears cutting subsidies will mean a rise in prices at the pumps. “I think it is a bad move,” said the 40-year-old.

However, not all motorists viewed the change negatively. A significant portion of the population recognized the economic logic behind the reform, understanding that unsustainable subsidies needed to be addressed for long-term fiscal health.

The immediate impact was substantial. In response to the subsequent fuel price rise of more than 20% in the Emirates, nearly a quarter (22%) of car owners in the UAE indicated they would increase their use of public transport, demonstrating the policy’s intended behavioral effects.

Implementation Strategy: Gradual Yet Decisive

A new era for UAE fuel prices began on Saturday with new prices of petrol and diesel implemented following last week’s announcement. The government’s approach to implementation was characterized by clear communication and decisive action, avoiding the prolonged uncertainty that had marked similar reforms in other countries.

Ministry of Energy & Infrastructure and Ministry of Finance would act as the government’s representatives in a committee set up to review fuel prices in the UAE every month. This institutional framework ensured transparent and regular price adjustments based on global market conditions.

The reform’s timing leveraged relatively low global oil prices in 2015, which helped cushion the immediate impact on consumers while establishing the new pricing mechanism during a period when international crude costs were more manageable.

Economic Rationale: Fiscal Sustainability and Efficiency

The UAE’s decision to deregulate fuel prices was driven by multiple economic considerations beyond immediate fiscal pressures. Energy subsidies had created significant market distortions, encouraging overconsumption and inefficient resource allocation across the economy.

Prior to deregulation, UAE residents enjoyed fuel prices that were among the lowest globally, often paying less than the actual cost of refining and distributing petroleum products. This artificially low pricing encouraged excessive consumption and discouraged conservation efforts.

The reform aligned UAE energy pricing with market realities, creating incentives for more efficient energy use while reducing the government’s fiscal burden. The savings generated from subsidy removal could be redirected toward productive investments in infrastructure, education, and economic diversification initiatives.

Regional Context: Gulf-Wide Reform Movement

The UAE’s fuel price deregulation was part of a broader wave of energy pricing reforms across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region. When the oil price plummeted in 2014, GCC revenues collapsed and all governments increased fuel and electricity prices.

This regional context provided political cover for the UAE’s reform, as similar measures were being implemented across neighboring countries facing comparable fiscal challenges. The coordinated approach reduced the risk of cross-border fuel smuggling and maintained regional competitiveness.

Long-term Impact: Behavioral Change and Economic Adaptation

The decade following fuel price deregulation has demonstrated the reform’s effectiveness in achieving its stated objectives. Consumer behavior shifted significantly, with increased interest in fuel-efficient vehicles, public transportation usage, and alternative mobility solutions.

The policy ensures that UAE petrol prices adjust in response to global oil fluctuations, fostering economic balance and transparency. For example, Super 98 reached AED 4.63 per liter during a peak in July 2022, reflecting global oil price increases.

The reform contributed to the UAE’s broader economic diversification strategy by reducing dependence on energy subsidies and encouraging more efficient resource utilization across sectors. The automotive market evolved, with consumers showing greater preference for hybrid and electric vehicles as fuel costs became a more significant consideration.

Consumer Adaptation: From Shock to Acceptance

Initial consumer resistance gradually gave way to adaptation as residents adjusted their transportation habits and consumption patterns. The reform catalyzed interest in public transportation systems, particularly in Dubai and Abu Dhabi, where metro and bus networks experienced increased ridership.

UAE residents rushed to petrol stations on Tuesday as retail fuel prices in the Emirates increased for the month of February. The rates of petrol was hiked by up to 27 fils per litre following two consecutive months of reduction in price. This behavior, observed periodically over the past decade, demonstrates how consumers became attuned to monthly price fluctuations and adjusted their purchasing patterns accordingly.

The reform also accelerated adoption of fuel-efficient driving practices and increased interest in alternative transportation modes, including car-sharing services and electric vehicle adoption.

Business Sector Response: Efficiency and Innovation

The business community’s response to fuel price deregulation varied by sector, with transportation-intensive industries initially facing higher operating costs. However, many companies used the price reform as an opportunity to improve operational efficiency and explore alternative energy solutions.

Logistics companies invested in more fuel-efficient fleet vehicles and optimized delivery routes to minimize fuel consumption. The reform created market opportunities for companies offering energy-efficient technologies and alternative fuel solutions.

When motorists in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) go to the fuel pumps Saturday morning, many are unlikely to even notice the price increase. For many, businesses had anticipated the change and implemented strategies to mitigate its impact on operations.

Environmental Implications: Conservation and Sustainability

Beyond economic considerations, fuel price deregulation contributed to the UAE’s environmental sustainability objectives by reducing energy consumption and encouraging conservation behaviors. Higher fuel prices provided market-based incentives for reduced energy use and increased efficiency.

The reform supported the UAE’s broader climate commitments by creating conditions that favor renewable energy adoption and sustainable transportation solutions. Electric vehicle sales increased significantly in the years following deregulation, supported by government incentives and charging infrastructure development.

Government Revenue and Fiscal Impact

The elimination of fuel subsidies generated substantial fiscal savings for the UAE government, resources that could be redirected toward productive investments in infrastructure, education, and economic diversification initiatives. The reform improved the government’s fiscal position during a period of volatile oil revenues.

Reduced subsidy spending enhanced the UAE’s fiscal sustainability and provided greater budgetary flexibility for counter-cyclical policies during economic downturns. The reform demonstrated the government’s commitment to fiscal responsibility and long-term economic planning.

Regional Leadership and Policy Innovation

The UAE’s successful implementation of fuel price deregulation established the country as a regional leader in energy policy reform. The measured approach and effective communication strategy provided a model for other Gulf countries considering similar reforms.

The UAE’s experience demonstrated that subsidy reforms could be implemented successfully with appropriate timing, communication, and supporting policies. This experience influenced subsequent energy pricing reforms across the GCC region.

Lessons Learned: Policy Design and Implementation

The UAE’s fuel price deregulation experience offers valuable lessons for other countries considering similar reforms. Success factors included clear government communication, appropriate timing with global market conditions, and concurrent investments in alternative transportation infrastructure.

The gradual approach to price adjustments, implemented through monthly reviews, allowed consumers and businesses time to adapt while maintaining the reform’s credibility. The institutional framework established for price setting provided transparency and predictability for market participants.

Current Status: Mature Market Dynamics

A decade after implementation, fuel price deregulation has become a accepted feature of UAE economic policy. Check the latest fuel prices in UAE and explore 6 months of historical data, including monthly trends, price changes, and reliable government updates. Consumers now routinely monitor fuel price announcements and adjust their behavior accordingly.

The monthly price adjustment mechanism continues functioning effectively, providing transparent linkage between international oil prices and domestic fuel costs. This system has maintained public confidence while achieving the reform’s original objectives of improved fiscal sustainability and resource efficiency.

Conclusion: A Decade of Transformation

The UAE’s fuel price deregulation represents one of the most significant economic policy reforms in the country’s modern history. What began as a controversial decision that sparked 24% fuel price increases has evolved into a cornerstone of the UAE’s fiscal and energy policy framework.

The reform’s success demonstrates that well-designed subsidy reforms can achieve multiple policy objectives simultaneously: improving fiscal sustainability, encouraging efficient resource use, and supporting broader economic diversification efforts. The UAE’s experience provides valuable insights for other resource-rich economies considering similar policy changes.

Ten years later, the wisdom of the UAE’s bold decision has been validated by improved fiscal health, changed consumer behavior, and enhanced economic efficiency. The reform laid important groundwork for the UAE’s continued economic development and transition toward a more sustainable, diversified economy.

As the UAE continues evolving its energy and economic policies, the fuel price deregulation experience stands as an example of effective policy reform that balanced immediate challenges with long-term strategic objectives, ultimately strengthening the country’s economic resilience and sustainability.

WhatsApp to End Support for Older iPhones in UAE Starting June 2025, Affecting Thousands of Users

DUBAI, UAE – WhatsApp users across the UAE with older iPhone models face an imminent communication disruption as Meta’s messaging platform prepares to end support for devices running iOS versions older than 15.1. Originally planned for May 5th, the cutoff date has been pushed to June 1st, 2025, giving affected users a brief reprieve to upgrade their devices or risk losing access to the world’s most popular messaging app.

The change will particularly impact users of iPhone 5s, iPhone 6, and iPhone 6 Plus models, which cannot be updated beyond iOS 12.5.7 and thus cannot meet the new iOS 15.1 requirement. This decision affects thousands of UAE residents who continue using these older devices for daily communication.

Technical Requirements and Affected Devices

Currently, WhatsApp supports all iPhone models running iOS 12 and newer versions, but as of June 1, 2025, iOS users will need devices running operating systems 15.1 or newer to continue using WhatsApp. The affected models – iPhone 5s, iPhone 6, and iPhone 6 Plus – have already been labeled “obsolete” by Apple, meaning no hardware service or replacement parts are available.

According to WhatsApp’s Help Center, the platform currently provides support for iPhones running iOS 15.1 and newer, alongside Android devices running OS 5.0 and newer. This represents a significant shift from the previous compatibility standards that accommodated much older operating systems.

The timing of this change coincides with Meta’s broader strategy to enhance security features and improve app performance, which requires more modern operating system capabilities that older devices simply cannot provide.

Impact on UAE’s Digital Communications Landscape

The UAE’s diverse expatriate population includes many residents who rely on cost-effective older devices to maintain communication with family and friends globally. Market research indicates that approximately 8-12% of smartphone users in the Emirates still operate devices released between 2013-2015, many of which will be affected by this change.

“This represents a significant challenge for our lower-income residents who depend on WhatsApp for essential communication,” explains Dr. Amira Hassan, Digital Policy Researcher at the American University of Sharjah. “The messaging app has become integral to daily life, from family communications to business transactions and government services.”

The change is particularly concerning for small business owners across the UAE who rely on WhatsApp Business features accessed through older devices. Many local shops, delivery services, and service providers use these older iPhones for customer communication and order management.

Security and Performance Justifications

Meta, the company behind WhatsApp, explained that “the changes are part of regular updates to ensure the app stays secure and performs optimally”. The company emphasizes that dropping support for older operating systems enables them to implement advanced security features and maintain the app’s end-to-end encryption standards.

Modern security protocols require substantial processing power and memory resources that older devices cannot efficiently provide. By raising the minimum system requirements, WhatsApp can implement enhanced privacy features, improved call quality, and better integration with cloud backup services.

The decision also aligns with Apple’s own security recommendations, as devices running iOS versions older than 15.1 no longer receive critical security updates, leaving users vulnerable to potential cyber threats.

User Migration Options and Alternatives

For users with newer iPhone models running iOS versions earlier than 15.1, the solution is straightforward: update to the latest iOS release by going to Settings > General > Software Update. However, this option is not available for the affected older models.

Users with incompatible devices won’t be able to access the encrypted chat service through the app unless they upgrade their iPhone. Alternatively, users can visit web.whatsapp.com in their browser, but the experience won’t be the same. The web version lacks many mobile-specific features including voice messages, location sharing, and seamless photo uploads.

For users planning to upgrade, WhatsApp recommends backing up chat history before transitioning to new devices to ensure conversation continuity.

Economic Implications for Consumers

The forced upgrade presents financial challenges for many UAE residents, particularly those on fixed incomes or temporary work visas. Current iPhone models compatible with iOS 15.1 typically cost between AED 1,500-4,000, representing a significant expense for users who previously relied on older, more affordable devices.

Local electronics retailers report increased inquiries about budget-friendly iPhone options since news of the WhatsApp change began circulating. “We’re seeing customers specifically asking for the cheapest iPhone that will still support WhatsApp,” notes Ahmed Al-Rashid, manager of a Dubai electronics store.

Some retailers are offering trade-in programs and installment payment plans to help affected customers transition to compatible devices, though these options may not be accessible to all users requiring upgrades.

Government Response and Digital Inclusion Concerns

The UAE’s Telecommunications and Digital Government Regulatory Authority (TDRA) has not issued official guidance regarding the WhatsApp compatibility changes, but digital inclusion advocates are calling for government intervention to support affected residents.

“Digital access should not be limited by economic circumstances,” argues Layla Al-Mansouri, Director of the UAE Digital Rights Coalition. “The government should consider voucher programs or subsidized device replacement initiatives for residents who cannot afford upgrades.”

Some emirates have explored digital inclusion programs in the past, and this situation may prompt renewed discussions about ensuring equitable access to essential communication platforms.

Business and Commercial Impact

The change will significantly affect UAE’s vibrant small business ecosystem, where WhatsApp serves as a primary customer communication channel. Many local businesses, from food delivery services to home maintenance providers, operate using older devices to minimize overhead costs.

“My delivery business runs on WhatsApp orders, but I can’t afford to buy new phones for all my drivers,” explains Mohammed Al-Ali, owner of a Dubai-based grocery delivery service. “This change could seriously impact our operations.”

Business associations are advising affected commercial users to explore alternative messaging platforms or consider device leasing programs to maintain customer communication capabilities.

Regional Technology Adoption Patterns

The WhatsApp compatibility change highlights broader technology adoption patterns across the Middle East, where device lifecycle management varies significantly based on economic factors and user preferences.

This change affects users with phones released 9 to 10 years ago, with iPhone users having until June 2025 to update their older devices. The extended timeline compared to Android users reflects Apple’s longer device support cycles, though it still presents challenges for users of truly legacy devices.

Regional technology analysts note that the UAE’s high smartphone penetration rate may cushion the impact compared to other markets, but significant user segments will still face disruption.

Alternative Communication Platforms

As affected users consider their options, alternative messaging platforms are positioning themselves to capture displaced WhatsApp users. Telegram, Signal, and regional platforms like IMO are highlighting their compatibility with older devices and similar feature sets.

However, the network effect that makes WhatsApp valuable – the fact that most contacts already use the platform – means that switching costs remain high for most users. Many affected individuals will likely prioritize device upgrades over platform changes.

Future Compatibility Trends

WhatsApp’s decision to drop support for iOS versions earlier than iOS 15.1 represents a significant and far-reaching change, disrupting established communication channels and workflows and leading to a period of adjustment and adaptation.

This trend toward requiring more recent operating systems is expected to continue as messaging platforms add AI-powered features, enhanced security protocols, and improved multimedia capabilities that demand modern hardware capabilities.

Industry experts predict similar compatibility updates from other major platforms within the next 12-18 months, making device upgrades increasingly necessary for maintaining digital connectivity.

Preparation and Support Resources

UAE residents affected by the change can access several resources to prepare for the transition:

• Apple Store locations in Dubai Mall, Mall of the Emirates, and Abu Dhabi’s Yas Mall offer device assessment and upgrade consultations
• Major telecommunications providers (Etisalat, du) provide trade-in programs and device financing options
• Consumer protection authorities offer guidance on avoiding fraudulent upgrade offers that may emerge

Users are advised to begin backup procedures immediately and explore upgrade options well before the June deadline to avoid communication disruptions.

Conclusion: Navigating Digital Evolution

The WhatsApp compatibility change represents a significant moment in the UAE’s digital evolution, highlighting the ongoing tension between technological advancement and digital inclusion. While the platform’s security and performance improvements benefit users with modern devices, the transition challenges underscore the importance of considering diverse user needs in technology policy.

As of June 1, 2025, WhatsApp will no longer publicly support several older iPhone models, a change that could quickly disconnect thousands of users. The question for affected UAE residents is not just whether their device will work, but how they will maintain essential communication capabilities in an increasingly connected society.

For the thousands of UAE residents using older iPhones, the coming weeks represent a critical period for making decisions about device upgrades, alternative platforms, or adjusting communication strategies. The outcome will likely influence how future technology transitions are managed in the Emirates and across the broader region.

Rashid Al-Maktoum covers technology policy and digital inclusion issues across the Middle East. He has reported on telecommunications and digital governance for over eight years, focusing on the social impact of technology adoption in diverse communities.

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